26 Jun · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1645
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Revay
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1664
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Revay
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H10-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.