26 Jun · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1557
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zurek
AV
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1467
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+90
H2H11-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)