26 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1330
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Svec
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1318
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Svec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.