26 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AV
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1467
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kowolowski
MK
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1540
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kowolowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H11-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.