26 Jun · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1648
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Polasek
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1645
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H18-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.