26 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1617
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Svechota
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Svechota
ELO 1676
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Svechota
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.