26 Jun · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1503
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jungman
FJ
🇨🇿Filip Jungman
ELO 1516
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Jungman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.