26 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VH
🇨🇿Vladimir Havlicek
ELO 1445
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Parhomenko
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1502
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
🌟Parhomenko stays under total as favourite 68% (19)
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H17-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.