26 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Milan Cetner
ELO 1385
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stefek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1396
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H32-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.