26 Jun · 18:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hrabec
ELO 1453
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zurek
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1557
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+104
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)