26 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1565
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Polasek
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1648
FormLWLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+83
H2H22-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.