26 Jun · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1467
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Langer
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1576
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+109
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)