26 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1502
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Parhomenko
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1485
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
🌟Plachy covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+17
H2H31-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.