26 Jun · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1462
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plachy
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1485
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Darin stays under total as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H17-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.