26 Jun · 20:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1530
FormWLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Vales
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1735
FormLLWWW
39%
61%
🌟Vales goes over total as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Vales
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+205
H2H4-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+205)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)