26 Jun · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1557
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zurek
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1433
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+124
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)