26 Jun · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1606
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1617
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Ruzicka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 36% (14)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H24-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.