26 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1630
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Huk
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1606
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Ruzicka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 36% (14)
Fair odds · Huk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+24
H2H140-79
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.