26 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Bresky
ELO 1511
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bresky
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1502
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Bresky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.