26 Jun · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1664
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Revay
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1565
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Revay
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)