26 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousek
ELO 1608
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Revay
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1664
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Revay
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.