26 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1562
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Byrtus
PD
🇨🇿Petr Danko
ELO 1526
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+36
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.