26 Jun · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Milan Cetner
ELO 1385
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cetner
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1364
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Cetner
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+21
H2H39-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.