26 Jun · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1502
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Parhomenko
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1462
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Darin stays under total as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+40
H2H81-64
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.