26 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1462
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Darin
VH
🇨🇿Vladimir Havlicek
ELO 1445
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Darin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+17
H2H22-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.