26 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1648
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Revay
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1664
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Revay
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H47-63
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.