26 Jun · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1611
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vejvoda
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1598
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Vejvoda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H21-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.