26 Jun · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1735
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zajicek
JZ
🇨🇿Jan Zajicek
ELO 1813
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+78
H2H14-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.