26 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1606
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ruzicka
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1530
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
🌟Kratochvil rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.