27 Jun · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1507
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sychra
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1613
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+106
H2H69-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-40)