27 Jun · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1613
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sychra
KB
🇨🇿Karel Brozhik
ELO 1537
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H15-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.