27 Jun · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MR
🇨🇿Michal Regner
ELO 1563
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Louda
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1565
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Louda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H66-70
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.