27 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Alois Kanak
ELO 1384
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stolba
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Stolba
ELO 1446
FormLLWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Stolba
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.