27 Jun · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1245
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Martinek
JM
🇨🇿Jaroslav Martinek
ELO 1357
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Martinek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+112
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)