27 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1565
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Louda
KB
🇨🇿Karel Brozhik
ELO 1537
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Louda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+28
H2H22-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.