27 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1245
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vrabec
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1300
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Vrabec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.