27 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1634
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Urbaniec
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Plachta
ELO 1567
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.