27 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Stolba
ELO 1446
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Adamczyk
RA
🇨🇿Radek Adamczyk
ELO 1482
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+36
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.