27 Jun · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LN
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1387
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Novotny
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1245
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Novotny
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+142
H2H18-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)