27 Jun · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KB
🇨🇿Karel Brozhik
ELO 1537
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Regner
MR
🇨🇿Michal Regner
ELO 1563
FormLWWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Regner
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H38-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.