27 Jun · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1460
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Oborny
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1515
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
🌟Darin stays under total as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Oborny
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.