27 Jun · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇨🇿Jaroslav Martinek
ELO 1357
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Martinek
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1300
FormWLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Martinek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.