27 Jun · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrabec
ELO 1484
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hrabec
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1475
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Hrabec
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.