27 Jun · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1300
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Novotny
LN
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1387
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Novotny
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+87
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)