27 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1567
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Navedla
MN
🇨🇿Matyas Navedla
ELO 1608
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Navedla
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+41
H2H10-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.