27 Jun · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1538
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bosak
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1499
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Bosak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.28· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+39
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.