28 Jun · 02:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Svechota
ELO 1692
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Svechota
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Franek
ELO 1598
FormWLWWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Svechota
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)