28 Jun · 00:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇨🇿Marek Placek
ELO 1519
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Placek
PP
🇨🇿Petr Picek
ELO 1466
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Placek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H18-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.