27 Jun · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1456
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bruzek
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Moravek
ELO 1447
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Bruzek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.