27 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Marek Volny
ELO 1522
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volny
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1499
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Volny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H10-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.